Winter 2024

Take Advantage of Tax-Loss Selling without Exiting Exposures with Bond ETFs

Jan. 18, 2024

With fixed income volatility expected to persist according to at least one important gauge, Daniel Stanley, Director of Institutional & Advisory, Ontario, lays out how to harvest tax losses on bonds while staying allocated via a single line-item ETF. 


When investors speak about volatility, it is usually in reference to equity markets; but in 2023, stock market volatility was remarkably calm and overshadowed by extremely large moves in normally-sedate bond markets. 

Aggressive policy tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the flood of bond sales by the U.S. government to fund its deficit have imposed historical losses on long-duration bonds and seemingly flipped the relationship between more volatile stocks and typically staid fixed-income assets on its head. The influence U.S. bonds have on debt markets globally has meant greater volatility for Canadian fixed income as well. 

Moreover, it is far from clear whether this trend reverts back to conventional trading pattern despite a year-end downdraft in yields. The swings in bond prices are expected to keep exceeding those for equities by the most in at least 18 years, according to a key gauge measured by Bloomberg.1

A picture is worth a thousand words and the charts below reflect the extreme moves in yield on both the U.S. and Canadian bond markets. 

Between June and October 2023, the fear of higher rates for longer” and ample bond supply resulting from growing government deficits drove the 10-year U.S. bond yield to rise 32% from 3.80% to 5.00%, and prices to fall correspondingly. In November and December, the market began pricing in earlier interest rate cuts from the Fed, due to seemingly effective inflation control resulting in the same 10-year yield falling by 15% to 4.25%.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Source: US Federal 10-Year Treasury Yield, Bloomberg, June 1, 2023 – December 112023.

Canadian bonds have experienced a similar trajectory. The 10-year Canadian bond yield rose 23% between June and October 2023, from 3.40% to 4.20%, only to retrace almost all of that move and fall back 20% to 3.40% by mid-December.

Canadian 10-Year Bond Yield
Source: Canadian Federal 10-Year Bond Yield, Bloomberg, June 1, 2023 – December 112023.

ETFs and Tax-Loss Harvesting

This volatility makes bond ETFs a valuable tool in an Investment Counsel Portfolio Manager (ICPM) or Family Office’s (FO) investment toolkit for two distinct reasons. First, they add operational flexibility by providing efficient and fast access to advantageous exposures and market opportunities. Yet in the current environment, if an ICPM or FO acquired bonds in a lower-rate environment, they give them the ability to efficiently harvest those losses. We encourage all investors to undertake professional tax consultation; however, it is instructive in our view to share how portfolio managers are currently benefitting from this process.

According to the BMO ETFs’ Tax Loss Harvesting Guide 2023, by disposing of securities with accrued capital losses, investors can help offset taxes otherwise payable in respect of other securities that were sold at a capital gain. The proceeds from the sale of these securities can then be reinvested in different securities with similar exposures to the securities that were sold, to maintain market exposure.” 

For example, portfolio managers who bought long-duration federal bonds last summer are likely still sitting on losses now in mid-December. That bond fund manager can approach the BMO ETFs desk, sell their Federal bond at a loss, and buy the BMO Long Federal Bond Index ETF (Ticker: ZFL).

Custom Creation

This transaction is known as a custom creation, whereby BMO Global Asset Management purchases a client’s bonds in kind” in exchange for an ETF allocation. This transaction is facilitated through a market maker. 

This kind of custom creation trade allows a portfolio manager to harvest the loss on the bond while keeping the exposure to that specific asset class via a single line-item ETF. And after the 30-day holding period, the transaction can be reversed. In addition, these trades are done without telegraphing your intentions to the market. 

The financial amounts required to facilitate a custom creation trade vary widely. BMO Global Asset Management has done trades for as little as $1 million and as much as $1 billion. We mention these numbers because for portfolio managers who interact with inventories of over-the-counter bonds, working with the BMO ETFs team of professionals ensures that those inventories can be effectively traded at any size level, to take advantage of opportunities like tax-loss selling. 



Please contact your
BMO ETF Specialist for more information. Our Portfolio Managers are also available to help with trading insights. They can also be reached at 18777417263.

Disclosures:

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

The viewpoints expressed by the authors represents their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time without any kind of notice. The information provided herein does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy, or an offer to sell securities nor should the information be relied upon as investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The statistics in this update are based on information believed to be reliable but not guaranteed.

This article is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

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