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Despite the recovery in broad risk over the past few months, the underlying issue remains the same. The decades-long integration of global trade — with the United States at the hub — has been permanently disrupted. And unless we see a complete reversal from the Trump administration, the current regime of higher trade barriers is likely here to stay.
What’s more, we also appear to be in the early stages of something more nefarious — a capital war. As congressional members pass the “One, Big, Beautifull Bill Act”, a provision like Section 899, even if excluded, should send a reminder to non-U.S. investors that foreign investment is becoming less welcome than it has been in the past.
All prices, returns and portfolio weights are as of market close on September 30, 2024, unless otherwise indicated.
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What are the side effects of higher pricing pressures and capital costs? In this special episode, ETF Strategist Bipan Rai, and your host, Michelle Allen, break down the potential implications for investors and why alternatives matter in the current environment. They also provide a third quarter update on portfolio positioning. Michelle Allen is a Senior Associate, Online Distribution, BMO ETFs at BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM). She is joined on the podcast by Bipan Rai, Head of ETF Strategy, Exchange Traded Funds, at BMO GAM. The episode was recorded live on Tuesday, July 15, 2025.
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