Related Strategy & Insights
In our first ‘Tax Efficient’ Portfolio, we are following the same fundamental rationale as our ‘Balanced Portfolio’ with a few caveats. First, we are prioritizing capital gains over income. This means focusing more on discount bonds in the fixed income sleeve of our portfolio while also continuing to prioritize shorter duration products.
As an example, we have removed ZBI and replaced it with ZCDB (BMO Corporate Discount Bond ETF) at a lower weight. We are also increasing the weight of ZDB in this portfolio to 10% (from 5% in our balanced fund).
Second, we are prioritizing Canadian and U.S. underlying holdings over international investments. That means a greater weight for core exposures in ZCN and ZUQ. At the same time, we are removing ZIQ and ZEM.
For the tactical exposures, we have elected to go with a covered call strategy for Tech ZWT (BMO Covered Call Technology ETF) as well as a covered call strategy for Utilities ZWU (BMO Covered Call Utilities ETF). Both allow us to earn tax efficient income in sectors that we think should still continue to perform.
Additionally, both of the aforementioned strategies will help to make up for the relatively lower income that comes with utilizing discount bond ETFs in the fixed income sleeve.
We are also removing our exposure to ZGI (BMO Global Infrastructure Index ETF) and reallocating that to ZLSC (BMO Long Short Canadian Equity ETF).
There is a deep contradiction between perception and reality that is currently playing out in the U.S. economic landscape. In many ways, it reminds us of the setting to the famous 1999 movie, The Matrix (a friendly spoiler alert for those that haven’t seen it – skip ahead to the next paragraph). In the movie, the world in which the protagonist wakes up is a simulated reality powered by an engine that most don’t see. This “invisible engine” dynamic helps us square the inconsistency between the prevailing narrative of U.S. economic fragility and incoming data that shows resilience.
Despite the recovery in broad risk over the past few months, the underlying issue remains the same. The decades-long integration of global trade — with the United States at the hub — has been permanently disrupted. And unless we see a complete reversal from the Trump administration, the current regime of higher trade barriers is likely here to stay.
What’s more, we also appear to be in the early stages of something more nefarious — a capital war. As congressional members pass the “One, Big, Beautifull Bill Act”, a provision like Section 899, even if excluded, should send a reminder to non-U.S. investors that foreign investment is becoming less welcome than it has been in the past.
Related Trade Ideas & Podcasts
There is an important and meaningful difference between the current AI capex boom and the Tech bubble from 25 years ago. That being that the current AI spending boom is largely funded by internal cash flows as opposed to external (debt) financing.
As markets continue to send contradictory signals, ETF and Alternatives Strategist, Bipan Rai and host, Michelle Allen, analyze which parts of the prevailing narrative are fact — and which are fiction. Michelle Allen is a Senior Associate, Online Distribution, at BMO Exchange Traded Funds. She is joined on the podcast by Bipan Rai, Head of ETF Strategy, Exchange Traded Funds at BMO Global Asset Management. The episode was recorded live on Wednesday, October 15, 2025.
While Quality has had a tough year so far, we expect it to perform going forward. This is largely due to a shifting macro backdrop that favours firms with stable earnings, a still-restrictive Fed monetary policy regime, and exposure to AI.
As a shifting economic backdrop fans recession fears in the U.S., is a soft landing still on the table? In this episode, ETF Strategist Bipan Rai, and your host, Erika Toth, analyze the market outlook. They also discuss our third quarter investment strategy reports and portfolio construction across asset classes. Erika Toth is a Director of Institutional and Advisory for Eastern Canada at BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM). She is joined on the podcast by Bipan Rai, Head of ETF Strategy, at BMO GAM. The episode was recorded live on Wednesday, August 28, 2024.
Tools and Performance Updates
Momentum report
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