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The end of the year is a special time. The slowing modulation of the markets gives many an analyst time to unplug, which inevitably leads to reflection about what the next year will bring. And as ideas begin to take shape, convictions start to form and a general sense of where the market is headed is reached.
It is almost always a humbling exercise.
For instance, just consider a subset of the important macro/market events from this year
Turn volatility into cash flow with our top 6 picks yielding 6% or more, for investors seeking to reduce volatility relative to broad markets while enhancing the level of yield in their portfolios.
In this episode, Sohrab Movahedi, Bipan Rai, and your host, Skye Collyer, delve into Q4 Canadian bank earnings, touching on what’s driving growth and the unifying theme of resilience through diversification. They also share their 2026 outlook for the Big Six.
Diversification Driving Growth: Despite the slowest loan growth in decades, Canadian banks delivered nearly 10% revenue growth, with non-interest income (trading and fee-based) now making up 54% of total revenues.
Mixed Core Performance & Cautious Outlook: Capital markets and wealth management were strong, while traditional lending lagged; banks remain cautious on credit risk, increasing provisions for non-impaired loans.
Valuation & Strategy Implications: Robust capital positions support dividends and buybacks, creating rationale for an equal-weight beta exposure such as ZEB. For those with valuation concerns, we suggest covered call strategies like ZWB to smooth returns and limit volatility.
As Canadian banks report fiscal year-end earnings, investors may consider buying BMO’s Bank ETFs for their upside potential, diversification and steady cash flow.
Canada’s latest budget marks a major pivot toward long-term growth, with C$115B in infrastructure spending alongside substantial allocations for defense and housing. Alongside those investments, the Feds are encouraging private sector participation via regulatory streamlining and tax incentives.