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Portfolio Strategy Report (Q3 2025)
Despite the recovery in broad risk over the past few months, the underlying issue remains the same. The decades-long integration of global trade — with the United States at the hub — has been permanently disrupted. And unless we see a complete reversal from the Trump administration, the current regime of higher trade barriers is likely here to stay.
What’s more, we also appear to be in the early stages of something more nefarious — a capital war. As congressional members pass the “One, Big, Beautifull Bill Act”, a provision like Section 899, even if excluded, should send a reminder to non-U.S. investors that foreign investment is becoming less welcome than it has been in the past.
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3 key reasons why Gold rally can continue higher
One of the more interesting wrinkles of the current rally in Gold is that it’s been accompanied by an uptick in global ETF holdings of the precious metal. That means retail/institutional investors are getting in on the fun this time around – which is a bit of a departure from what we saw between late 2022 and early 2024. During that period, retail/institutional liquidation of Gold was accommodated by central bank buying. Why are retail/institutional investors more inclined to participate now? Three reasons:
Podcast: What ETF Flows Are Telling Us-September 10, 2025
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Will it be another record-breaking year for Canadian ETF inflows? In this episode, Bipan Rai, Matt Montemurro, and your host, Erika Toth, delve into the latest industry data, exploring the seasonality of flows, currency hedging, fixed income positioning, a slight sector rotation, and a whole lot more. Erika Toth is a Director of Institutional and Advisory for Eastern Canada at BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM). She is joined on the podcast by Bipan Rai, Head of ETF Strategy, Exchange Traded Funds, BMO GAM and Matt Montemurro, Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income and Equity Index ETFs, Exchange Traded Funds, BMO GAM. The episode was recorded live on Wednesday, September 10, 2025.
Podcast: Gold that Glows with Cash that Flows-May 28, 2025
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What are the advantages of investing in gold? In this special episode, Portfolio Managers Jonathan Lau and Olivie Li, and your host, Erika Toth, explore this safe-haven asset. They also introduce a new way to get exposure to the price of gold bullion while generating monthly cash flow. Erika Toth is a Director of Institutional and Advisory at BMO Global Asset Management. She is joined on the podcast by Jonathan Lau and Olivia Li, Portfolio Managers at BMO Exchange Traded Funds. The episode was recorded live on Wednesday, May 28, 2025.