Related Strategy & Insights
In the Q3 edition of this report, we were more constructive on our outlook for the U.S. fixed income space relative to Canada. This reflected our view at the time that the market was underpricing the risk of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts in the fall, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) was likely at the end of its cycle.
Fast forward three months, we’ve largely seen this story play out. U.S. rates have outperformed as Canadian dollar (CAD)-U.S. dollar (USD) spreads have tightened aggressively across the curve.
As the global trade paradigm shifts, countries are reassessing old economic configurations.
Consider, that with the United States retreating from free trade, developed market economies can now expect the contribution from net trade to economic growth to decline in the coming years. Indeed, those same economies will now need to chart a different course as the degree of access to U.S. markets has changed dramatically.
All prices, returns and portfolio weights are as of market close on March 31, 2026, unless otherwise indicated.
Related Trade Ideas & Podcasts
Turn volatility into cash flow with our top 6 picks yielding 6% or more, for investors seeking to reduce volatility relative to broad markets while enhancing the level of yield in their portfolios.
In this episode, Bipan Rai, Sohrab Movahedi, and your host, Skye Collyer, unpack Canada’s ‘Big Six’ banks’ Q1 2026 earnings — cutting through the noise on tariffs, growth drivers, and what resilience looks like in an uncertain macro environment. Skye Collyer is a Director of ETF Distribution at BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM). She is joined by Bipan Rai, Head of ETF Strategy, Exchange Traded Funds at BMO GAM, and Sohrab Movahedi, Managing Director of Financials Research at BMO Capital Markets. This episode was recorded live on Tuesday, March 03, 2026.