Bien que, jusqu’à présent, l’année a été difficile pour les titres de qualité, nous nous attendons à ce qu’ils génèrent de bons résultats pour la suite. Cette situation s’explique en grande partie par l’évolution du contexte macroéconomique favorisant les sociétés affichant des bénéfices stables, une politique monétaire toujours restrictive de la Fed et une exposition à l’IA.
Bipan Rai
Chef, Stratégies de FNB et de solutions structurées
Bipan Rai s’est joint à BMO Gestion mondiale d’actifs en 2024 et est actuellement chef, Stratégies de FNB, poste où il effectue des recherches stratégiques pour l’équipe FNB et solutions structurées Il est tenu en haute estime pour ses perspectives macroéconomiques ainsi que sa connaissance de la structure des marchés dans diverses catégories d’actif. Bipan se concentre sur la recherche macroéconomique fondamentale et les répercussions sur le marché des FNB. Il analyse également les politiques économiques, monétaires et budgétaires, et suit l’évolution des contextes de financement et de liquidité. Avant de se joindre à BMO Gestion mondiale d’actifs, il a travaillé 13 ans en tant que stratège de premier ordre au sein d’un important courtier canadien. Il a remporté plusieurs prix pour ses recherches dans diverses publications (Greenwich Survey, Bloomberg) et est fréquemment invité par des médias d’affaires mondiaux (BNN/Bloomberg, CNBC, WSJ). Bipan est titulaire d’une maîtrise en administration des affaires de la Martin Munro School of Business de l’Université York et d’un baccalauréat en ingénierie (aérospatiale) de l’Université Toronto Metropolitan.
Actuel Idées de négociation
Actuel Balados
Could the U.S. midterms change the outlook for Canadian investors? TD Cowen’s Chris Krueger returns to join Bipan for a look at the races to watch and what a shift in congressional control could mean for trade, tariffs and Washington’s spending plans. They explore what a more pro-Canada Congress may offer, the prospect of renewed debt-ceiling battles and whether growing scrutiny of AI will translate into regulation. This podcast was recorded live on October 26, 2026.
From sticky inflation and rising bond yields to growing questions around AI, the macro backdrop is getting more complex. In this episode, special guest Bipan Rai joins host Zayla Saunders to unpack his Q4 portfolio strategy and what it means to stay invested — and protected — this quarter. Zayla Saunders is Vice President of ETF Online Distribution at BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM) and Bipan Rai is Head of ETF & Structured Solutions Strategy at BMO GAM. This episode was recorded live on Friday, October 9, 2026.
With Canadian housing facing a prolonged slump, where can Canadians put their savings to work? Bipan welcomes back BMO Capital Markets economist Robert Kavcic to discuss why markets may be overestimating Bank of Canada rate hikes, why a housing recovery will take time, and investment opportunities beyond real estate. This podcast was recorded on October 6, 2026.
Investing has never been more accessible, yet money anxiety keeps growing. Hosts Zayla Saunders and Hilly Cutler talk with Rob Carrick about how Canadians’ attitudes toward money have changed, the rise of ETFs, rising bond yields and mortgage rates, and what keeps his readers up at night.
How much tightening would it take to keep Canadian inflation expectations in check? Royce Mendes of Desjardins Securities joins Bipan to explain his case for a limited round of “insurance hikes,” how U.S. trade relations could alter that outlook and where he sees value in Canadian bonds. This podcast was recorded on Sept. 22, 2026.
Canada’s trade war with the U.S. is escalating — but the economy has proven surprisingly resilient. Bipan Rai sits down with RBC Capital Markets’ Jason Daw to discuss tariffs, fiscal firepower, the Bank of Canada’s next move and what’s driving long-term bond yields higher. This podcast was recorded on September 1, 2026.
Markets are wrestling with rising long-term yields and a less predictable Fed. Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, joins Bipan Rai to unpack real yields, fiscal pressures, AI investment and the Fed’s uncertain next move. This podcast was recorded on August 18, 2026.
The U.S. Treasury Department and Japan have taken the unusual step of jointly stabilizing the Japanese Yen in global currency markets. Bipan Rai explores the direct implications for currencies and yields — and whether it marks the return of a more activist era in global FX policy. This podcast was recorded on August 4, 2026.
Europe’s geopolitical wake-up calls are multiplying, but so are the reasons for cautious optimism. Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins Bipan Rai to unpack Europe’s new spending regime, central-bank divergence, Japan’s weak yen and the global signals investors should watch next. This podcast was recorded on July 21, 2026.
After a muted initial reaction to the U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and risk that the conflict may rapidly widen, energy markets have started pricing in darker scenarios. In this episode, Bipan is joined by TD Securities commodities strategist Daniel Ghali, where the pair discuss the extent to which crude prices may rise further, as well as implications for the broader global commodities complex. This episode was recorded live on March 4, 2026.
A new floor price for world oil prices as well as rising forecasts for gold are two among many implications traders are weighing as tensions simmer between Iran, Israel as well as the United States. Bipan is joined by TD Securities strategist Daniel Ghali to discuss what impact the conflict has had on commodity and energy price expectations. This podcast was recorded live on June 24, 2025.
Le point sur le rendement et la stratégie
Sauf indication contraire, tous les cours, rendements et pondérations du portefeuille sont ceux à la clôture des marchés le 31 mars 2026.
Avez-vous déjà participé à une fête tellement réussie que vous auriez voulu la faire durer indéfiniment? Rappelez-vous de l’impression que vous avez lorsque les lumières se rallument, que le bar ferme et que la musique s’adoucit? Vous ressentez une certaine nostalgie à l’idée que la fête est terminée et qu’il est temps de retourner à la maison, même s’il est encore un peu trop tôt et que vous voulez continuer à danser.
Sectoriels/FNB à marchandise
Le COFFRE-FORT
L’analyse des antécédents des principaux indicateurs guides composites nous aide à comprendre où nous en sommes dans le cycle actuel et à mettre en contexte le rendement prévu de divers secteurs de l’économie.